As the World Cup 2026 heads to Boston for a quarter-final clash, Canada remembers the sting of their elimination. The Atlas Lions, Morocco, defeated the co-hosts 3-0 in the Round of 16 despite only generating four shots on target. They weathered Canada’s early pressure and dominated the second half with goals from Azzedine Ounahi and Soufiane Rahimi. Now, the same team stands between France and a spot in the semi-finals.
A historic rematch in Boston
This quarter-final is a direct sequel to the 2022 World Cup semi-final in Qatar, where France won 2-0. Morocco is determined to reverse that result and reach the final four. The team has been unbeaten in ten matches since the AFCON final, displaying the form needed to challenge the tournament favorites.
France, under coach Didier Deschamps, aims for a third consecutive semi-final appearance, a feat only achieved by three nations in history. They remain unbeaten in 12 competitive matches and have won seven straight, including every 2026 World Cup game played so far.
| Statistic | France | Morocco |
|---|---|---|
| Recent Unbeaten Streak | 12 competitive matches | 10 matches since AFCON |
| 2026 World Cup Record | 5 wins, 0 losses | 4 wins, 1 loss (Round of 16) |
| Last World Cup Meeting | Won 2-0 (2022 Semi) | Lost 0-2 (2022 Semi) |
| Win Probability (Opta) | 61.7% | 16.2% |
Mbappé’s dominance and lineup doubts
Kylian Mbappé is the defining factor for France. He has scored seven goals in this tournament, becoming one of only two players ever to reach seven or more goals in two separate World Cups alongside Lionel Messi. His penalty against Paraguay secured a narrow 1-0 victory in the Round of 16.
Morocco faces a significant injury concern. Striker Ismael Saibari, who scored in all their group games, was forced off early against Canada due to a hamstring injury. His absence severely weakens their attacking focal point, leaving the team without its primary goal threat.
Prediction and betting outlook
Bookmakers heavily favor France, listing them as the clear moneyline winner with Morocco as sizeable underdogs. The betting markets suggest a lower-scoring affair, with the total set around two and a half goals. France’s recent wins have mostly come by large margins, while Morocco’s losses have often been close.
Given France’s control of the tempo and Morocco’s tendency to defend deep, a 2-0 victory for France is the most logical prediction. However, Morocco has shown the ability to disrupt favorites, just as they did against Canada. The smart bet remains on France to win without conceding, but the Atlas Lions could force extra time if they stay clinical.
Final Prediction: France 2, Morocco 0